Archive for the ‘Entrepreneurs’ Category

Business Models Rule

Sunday, October 5th, 2008

Michael Rappa has a great article summarizing the various types of business models. It is a concise way of analyzing various possible models for a startup idea. The same service or product may be adopted to offline and online business models and have an impact on the overall success of the business.

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He categorizes all business models into the following groups: Brokerage, Advertising, Infomediary, Merchant, Manufacturer (Direct), Affiliate, Community, Subscription, Utility A similar study from MIT classifies it differently and also points out that the selection of the model fundamentally determines the success of the venture as much as the product or service:

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Alex Osterwalder is one of the consultants focused on business model creation vs product idea creation. For many great companies business model was much more important than product idea (Dell, Toyota). These companies realized that well executed business models are much harder to imitate than products.

Technorati Tags: business ideas, business models, Enterprise 2.0

100 Ways to Make $10 Millions in a Startup

Wednesday, August 20th, 2008

I was at a lunch meeting where the argument came up that there are few ideas left in the world… Sound familiar? So the group made a wager that they will come up with 100 ways to make $10 millions in a Startup. The ideas will be polled and ranked online and the winner gets the group's resources and support for funding. I will be watching this experiment and report when their website comes live.

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Technorati Tags: business ideas, business models, entrepreneurs, Innovation, Venture Capital

Philadelphia Venture Crowd

Monday, November 6th, 2006

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After 4 years of hiatus (and withdrawal) from the venture and startup world I decided to reengage with the local entrepreneurs and venture crowd in the Philadelphia area. It is very interesting to compare the Valley venture activities to the one here in Philly. It reminds me of my experience with Canadian investors in Toronto and Montreal from my “Canadian entrepreneur” days.
We had an entrepreneur breakfast where startups had the 2-minute elevator pitch and the mingle afterwards.
The investors seem more close-knit and tight with the companies but there were definite differences in the companies pitching as well. We had many biotech / healthcare companies beyond the technology startups and some traditional businesses.

Some of the obvious differences from my fundraising days:

  • Some companies had revenues (one was in the $15-20M revenue range)
  • Few had established channels,
  • Most had some anchor customers.

Also management teams typically had decades of experience. In fact we did not have a single Wharton MBA pitching their company. Considering that Wharton is the number 1 school in the country I actually expected that.

All in all a great intro to what is to come from the monthly investor series. NewBuzzTV was an interesting local addition to the entertainment / video / web convergence.

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DNA Computing

Friday, October 20th, 2006

Scientific American reported that the DNA-based computers now can play Tic-Tac-Toe. Why is this a big deal? This is significant not because DNA-computers will all of a sudden replace conventional servers to power the enterprise. Conventional computing started out solving basic binary problems in the 1940s which is now paralleled with the 2002 announcement when DNA biological computers solving similar complexity problems. That was 4 years ago. Now we have a basic “thinking machine” under way. Conventional computing fueled by Moore’s law got us to enterprise class by the 1970s, client server the late 1980s, the web 1.0 by the 1990s.

DNA computing may do for enterprise and web computing what the first genome sequencing did for biotech. The question is what kind of enterprises will emerge as a result. What problems will be solved in new ways? The first applications are obviously biotech - currently targeting disease modeling, like the West-Nile virus. But is there an emergent DNA-Web infrastructure or just better modeling in biotech and nanotech?

The MAYA-II DNA computer:
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It even reminds me of the first Sinclair computer from 1982(below).
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Origin of Wealth - Pilot, Standardize, Scale

Tuesday, October 17th, 2006

A recent re-read of Eric Beinhocker’s tome Origin of Wealth reminded me of the essential lesson in innovation based business strategy, or in his view any business survival.

Beinhocker (who heads the economics think tank at McKinsey’s Global Institute) takes you through a wonderful historical journey to prove that businesses just like any organisms go through predictable evolutionary cycles:

  • Differentiate (by trying more effective ways)
  • Select (traits that work best)
  • Amplify (selected traits)

That is the gist of 540 pages of intense research and like anything profound - it is quite simple.

Most businesses (including our own) grows by trial and error innovating products or business models depending on our conviction of competitive advantage. Then we standardize on what seems to work best and scale it by adding resources (people, money) behind it.

The model of Pilot / Standardize / Scale has been an extremely rewarding strategy for us for many years to innovate new products, services and business models or sometimes all three. It is good to see that great minds confirm our efforts to, well, Differentiate.

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Xerox Parc vs VC-funded Innovation

Monday, October 9th, 2006

A couple of weeks ago I was at Lucent headquarters where I saw their hall of fame, which is a walk down memory lane, in this case the highlights of innovation of Bell Labs over the years.

The trip reminded me of the great book “Open Innovation” by Harvard Professor Henry Chesbrough. It reviews how much innovation changed from the era of Bell Labs, Xerox Parc to today’s VC-funded innovations in startups.

His core question in the book is of Xerox Parc:


How could a company that possessed the resources and vision to launch a brilliant research center—not to mention the patience to fund the center for more than thirty years, and the savvy to incorporate important technologies from it—let so many good ideas get away?

Hopefully these ideas are no longer getting away given the vast network of angels, VCs continuing funding innovation. More importantly as startups’ exits are increasingly through corporate acquisitions vs. IPOs, it is clear that innovation has found a nice balance of inhouse R&D and acquired innovation (M&A) by the new corporate innovators like Google,Yahoo and others.

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While many technology companies are buying market share or expanding existing lines through acquisitions, the integration of new innovation continues as a major motive in M&A and more importantly as the fuel for the broadening innovation boom.

Mercer Consulting’s analysis of product cycles vs performance of high tech companies points to product saturation as the main killer of growth. They argue something that maybe counter to the history of technology firms: that technology companies built on innovation (vs marketing and other competencies) are highly unstable business models.
In that sense outsourcing or acquiring innovation may be the lowest risk business model if it is combined with increased focus on customer relationships, improved customer economics and better value propositions. Their research points out:

Very few high-tech companies have converted a hot product into an enterprise relationship. Those that have bucked the bottle-rocket pattern have done so by taking a customer-centric approach to stabilize against the inherent risks of product-centric growth.

So their prescription is marketing and customer intimacy as core competence and product innovation as an outsourced capability. It sure is in line with what we can observe with Microsoft, Google, Yahoo and Oracle and there is a lesson for all the Web2.0 innovators in the M&A queue.

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How to get entrepreneurial employees

Wednesday, October 4th, 2006

You can have the best product, the greatest market if your employees do not have the juice then you will not win.
Ever since I joined the large enterprise world 3 years ago after over a decade of startup and partnership stints, I have been constantly puzzled why large corporations have a special breed of employees that just do not have the energy, juice, drive like the ones I worked with in my high growth business days.

MIT professor Joseph Hadzima had an interesting lecture that helped me reflect on what he calls Entrepreneurial Employees.
He described seven characteristics that make the people with the Right Stuff stand out from the cubicle-bound corporate mainstay:

  • Ability to deal with and thrive on risk
  • Be results oriented, accountable for results
  • Energy. Lots of it.
  • Growth potential. Having what it takes to get to the next level
  • Team player and less politics. Seriously.
  • Multitasking ability. Being able to perform more than one role
  • Self-improvement oriented.

I guess I just created a little checklist for myself. I have the Wharton MBA recruiting day ahead and I think I may have created the ultimate filter for bringing entrepreneurism back in the mix.

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Can you really Prosper?

Wednesday, October 4th, 2006

As business models go Prosper is definitely one of the interesting combinations of risk management, money making, contribution, auctioning and social networking. You can sign up with them if you need a loan or if you have some money to lend. What is really fascinating how Prosper built in social networks to increase the trust levels of borrowers (lending to people in your local community, people from the same college, same background, same predicament).

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As a borrower you publish your profile and your elevator pitch on why you can be trusted and why your project is worth funding and why you are good for the debt. You can compel emotional support for caring for a loved one or spread the risk of building your next business.
If you have good credit the going rate is around 8% if your credit is really bad you should expect to pay above 26%. The rates seem to be in line with market rates for good borrowers and certainly beat credit card borrowing costs for many.

As a lender you get to spread your risk by syndicating loans with other lenders. You can pursue a pure capitalist agenda of maximizing profit (lending to a high risk venture @19% interest) or more of a social agenda and lending to the idealist building a daycare at 4%. You get to realize 8% and better with good borrowers at reasonable risk. Remember, you can spread your risk with many lenders and across multiple loans.

As any good market, borrowers can bid up interest rates they are willing to pay to attract lenders and lenders can bid rates down to get the borrower with the lowest risk.

Either way observing Prosper you can learn a lot in this petri dish of capital allocation on what people are compelled to invest in, take risks for and why. Market driven interest rates get set for various endeavors raging from social (paying for the wedding) to business turnarounds.
The rich data collected by Prosper would be fascinating research on how social networks get built around money.

As the business model goes, Prosper charges 1% one time closing fee to the Borrower and 0.5% annual servicing fee to the Lender. Lenders also get collection agency services at extra charge. All around a reasonable value proposition.

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Hey Brother, Can You Tell The Future?

Friday, September 29th, 2006

It is interesting that there is a perennial hope that someone (typically someone else) will have a better idea of what the future brings than us. Well that is the central theme behind the new wave of social networks of oracles.

It takes several forms, a recent favorite being the all-business, Bizpredict, where you can predict (not so distant) future business events like iPod generation 45 or whether mySpace is going to outshine Yahoo in traffic. At Bizpredict you are playing with, well, play-money.

If you want to put your money where your mouth is then you need to go to the new casino of fortunetellers, HedgeStreet. Here you can bet (I mean hedge) on various future predictions like where the housing prices are going next week or if oil is going to dip below $55 again. All in good fun. Especially while you are ahead.

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A Demand-side view of Enterprise 2.0

Tuesday, September 26th, 2006

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There are endless discussions of what would increase adoption of Web2.0 in the enterprise. And to this point we have not seen the kind of success (both customer adoption and financial exit) that MySpace and Facebook enjoys evolving enterprise space. But then again that is a supply-side view of the markets (meaning I built it why don’t they come?).

If we take a demand view the picture is more interesting and complicated. Two of the major elements of Enterprise 2.0 (depending on who you ask) is SOA and Social Networks/Collaboration. Neither of which is really new to the enterprise. Most companies we work with have an SOA roadmap with varying level of potential plans for the transformation of the user experience. But it is there. As far as collaboration goes - it is amazing what some IT shops do with Notes and some Web savvy…

Will an enterprise user be more pleasantly engaged with a mashed-up, Ajax-powered collaboration tool of late than a good old Lotus Notes hyperlinked environment juiced up with Websphere and Sametime? Probably. Will there be a massive jump in productivity, creativity and get-goingness? Doubtful.
And that is the rub in the green eyeshade-tinted world of Enterprise IT. The cubicle-bound technology innovator in a major company is faced with the following obstacles - that also severely limit the sales aspirations of the next Enterprise 2.0 startup:

  • 5% Innovation Budget - Many large IT shops spend 50-70% of their budgets on depreciation and operations (a.k.a keeping the lights on), 20-25% on application development, maintenance and the remaining sliver on potential R&D. And that covers everything from the Web front-end to the good old Cobol accounting system, the latest data harmonization or integration standard, mobile apps and (of course) journey into Web 2.0. Many times there is simply not enough IT bandwidth to get a real foothold beyond the tinkerers.
  • Breaking from the Pack - There are diminishing rewards for the adventuring technologist in an IT group for being a first mover. Careers are typically tied to core enterprise applications, traditional web properties, analytics and enterprise architecture work. The lone innovator needs the support of some powerful internal allies to launch an emerging solution project.
  • Push for Lean IT - Most large IT organizations still have not worked out the excesses of technology excuberance and the resulting proliferation of the technology and application portfolio. Many shops launched simplification, standardization, data harmonization initiatives to clean up the mess, get costs in line and free up money and people to tackle the next programs.
  • Investment justification - Most IT groups struggle with the justification of SOA and Collaboration investments and just classify them as strategic or infrastructure investments. This is a mistake. There are great studies of the value of collaboration and SOA from everyone from McKinsey to SAP and business arguments will pave a more predictable success for approval.

In a recent McKinsey study (subscription) the IT group of a Utility company spent over $4 Million a year in collaboration related personnel costs. Projecting this to all enterprise functions we are in the tens of millions in costs. The potential savings, more than any user experience improvement, will get enterprise adoption going.

The great news is that freed-up budgets will be looking for exactly the kind of value proposition Enterprise 2.0 offers. Better user experience, flexible applications, user-driven configuration, web-desktop integration. This can also be IT’s big comeback for better alignment with the business user.

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Replace Big “M” Marketing with Big “B” Marketing

Monday, September 25th, 2006

There is at least one great success story of a company finding global markets by the new age version of word of mouth: “Marketing Blogs”.
The wine company Stormhoek relies on blogging as its primary marketing channel. It is well networked and linked in blogosphere and has great endorsements as a result. Hard to sample the product remotely, but I already concur with one of their many promotional cartoons on their blog…

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Landgrab called .mobi

Monday, September 25th, 2006

Ok, this is that time of the year again when hordes of entrepreneurs, speculators or adventurers go and register their share of cola.mobi, frenchfries.mobi, isellstuff.mobi sites. Yes, the .mobi domain will be open next Tuesday. Landgrab is a very successful business model, like anything based on the temporary imbalance of supply and demand (remember the overnight condo-flipping wealth in Florida?).

There is definitely the core list of registered trademarks, brands and aspiring brands that will be registered. The good old (1999) Trademark Cyberpiracy Prevention Act took care of the resellers of pepsi.mobi but there is still a lot of room for sales.mobi and the like. So get up bright and early next Tuesday when the gates of registrars open. My vote is for dowereallyneedanotherdomain.mobi or for a more supportive view look here.

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Web 2.0 boom cycle

Saturday, September 23rd, 2006

Following up on our earlier post, Paul Kedrosky’s analysis (see figure below) reminds us how far the venture investments have taken off in the Web 2.0 space. Any well observing reader recognizes chart patterns that seem to become vertical, so my comment is simply this: increasing liquidity (exits) are likely to follow after all that good money is looking for the next mySpace or Facebook-type exit. Then as David Bell and Peter Fader from Wharton pointed out we can relive the past boom sequence by seeing these ventures moving from web to mobile once more.

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Social Networking meet Ebay meet Second Life

Saturday, September 23rd, 2006

Weblo is the latest addition to the billion dollar bonanza of social networking companies but with a very interesting twist. It has stacked in all the winning models of late. It is an auction site / marketplace , it is a social networking site and it also took tips from the virtual world, Second Life, that has spawned many very real millionaires.
So here it is. You can preregister and tip the competence/confidence equation in your favor. I think someone at the M&A group of Yahoo/Microsoft/News Corp/etc just sat up and took notice.

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YouTube, Facebook and Shift in Boom Cycles

Thursday, September 21st, 2006

It is always fascinating when we can actually see the shift in boom cycles and the reallocation of capital on a massive scale.
At the same time that real estate and commodities are (let’s just say) taking a good, long breather, Web 2.0 business are starting their wave of exists. Whether it is the 42% growth in valuation for Facebook in one year or the billion dollar deals for networks Facebook and youTube - we can comfortably say that market confirmed the shift in boom cycles.

Wherever the smart money moves, economies move. I know we cannot compare the 7.2 trillion dollar (net) real estate market to a couple of feeble web deals (a billion here and there and soon it adds up to real money), but I am sure Mark Zuckerberg growth index just outpaced the real estate index. Welcome the new new economy.

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The Way of the Geek and the Jock

Monday, September 18th, 2006

Over the years we have been experimenting with various models to simplify the analysis of the various paths to success.
We will have several articles on this topic but for now let us introduce the concept.

  • In this model there are two basic directions: improving competence and improving confidence.
  • There are no right or wrong ways just more or less effective strategies for reaching a point of success.
  • Success is defined here as the standard of achievement in a particular group, but success is a social construct not an individual one, meaning it is based on group perception and not the individual’s.
  • There are many journeys in the model, some moving forward some backwards in the attainment of the state called success.
  • You gain competence through an intellectual development process and you gain confidence through an interpersonal development process.
  • In this model you have to be both competent and have advanced interpersonal skills to be defined successful.

Many groups hold an idealized path to success shown below. The belief is that you progress equally in your compentence and confidence capacities and reach a successful state. You gain confidence by getting more competent and more competent through your interactions with broader interpersonal interactions.

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While we will talk about various topics like burnout, Peter principle and others later, let me start with two fun introductions. This is something most people can relate to. The archetype of the GEEK and the JOCK.

  • The GEEK starts by developing competence and later either gains confidence through interpersonal skills and becomes successful or exits the race and continues an more isolated competence journey. This journey can be called toughening up.
  • The JOCK’s journey is the exact opposite by starting with developing social and interpersonal skills and either develops competence and becomes successful or exits the race. This journey can be called smartening up.

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Who wants some winning business models?

Sunday, September 17th, 2006

We live in the era of business models wars and I though it would be interesting to look at who is searching for successful business models, entrepreneurial strategies and winning startup approaches. I did my fun analysis on Google Trends and while there were slight variations in the results Asia-Pacific region by far is the most active when it comes to these topics. 7 out of the top 10 searches typically come from Asian countries. Guess what are some searches that are most popular in the US now? Real estate crash and exit strategies. Our populace seems more interested in getting out of investments nowadays than getting into them…

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What it takes to win

Tuesday, September 12th, 2006

It is always interesting to watch how other succeed and discern the winning formula. Money magazine featured a couple of companies with great business models and had an ad-hoc myth busting exercise.

Myth 1: You’ve got to have incredible charisma
Myth 2: You must be able to see into the future
Myth 3: You’ve got to stick to your guns, no matter what
Myth 4: You need to take big risks
Myth 5: You need a burning desire to get rich.

It is almost never pure luck. It is almost always a great business model.

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Review of Winners

Tuesday, August 22nd, 2006

Startup Review is a great site on successful startups and their business models. They recently featured such startup “brand names” as craigslist, flickr and myspace. This is a peek at what makes some of these entrepreneurial ideas click. Which is useful to know considering that some of these founders’ options - should we say - are in the money. Great case being the recent story on Myspace on Fortune. Remember, these guys exceeded Google in web traffic a year ago!

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Another great 500

Sunday, August 20th, 2006

There are always the few that go counter to any economic cycles, interest rates, oil prices, housing busts and the like. The few that remember that they can actually run their own life and their own brains and stake out their own success. The usual inspiring story of the 500 companies that do not have bloated middle management, imploding pension funds, endless entitlements and miserable employees. Just good old fashioned vision, boundless enthusiasm, a healthy ignorance of naysayers and can-do execution.

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